Chelsea vs Arsenal: Europa League Final Betting Preview

On Wednesday, Chelsea and Arsenal will face-off in the first all-English European final of the week, as they contest the UEFA Europa League final in Baku, Azerbaijan.

With no direct flights, a minimum journey time of seven hours and a minuscule ticket allocation of just 6,000 for each side, it’s safe to say that Baku isn’t the most fan-friendly location for a tournament final. Which is a shame, given the importance of the fixture for both sides. Chelsea have the chance to repeat their success in 2012-13 and cement their place as best of the rest (behind Manchester City and Liverpool) in England, while Arsenal have the chance to secure a Champions League spot for next season and make manager Unai Emery the outright record-holder for the competition in both its iterations (UEFA Cup and UEL).  

Chelsea

Chelsea drew both legs of their semi-final against Eintracht Frankfurt, eventually triumphing on penalties, courtesy of goalkeeper Kepa Arrizabalaga’s penalty saves from Martin Hinteregger and Goncalo Paciencia. They enter the final unbeaten in the competition and on a record run of 18 fixtures without loss that stretches across seasons. They also boast the tournament’s top scorer in French striker Olivier Giroud, who has 10 goals in the competition.

In all competitions, Chelsea are unbeaten in their last eight matches, including a recent friendly match against MLS side New England Revolution – with breakout midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek suffering a long-term injury in the game. The Blues have kept clean sheets in three of their last four outings but have only scored more than one goal on two occasions in their last six matches. They’ll also be without Antonio Rudiger and Callum Hudson-Odoi; N’Golo Kante is currently a doubt, having suffered an injury in training on Saturday.

Arsenal

Arsenal’s progress through the semi-finals was emphatic; a hat-trick from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and an Alexandre Lacazette goal securing a 4-2 away win in the second leg at Valencia and sealing an overall victory on aggregate of 7-3. Having endured a poor end to the season in domestic competition (four losses from seven fixtures) Arsenal missed out on a Champions League spot and finished 5th in the Premier League. With a Champions League spot on the line, success in the final would represent a double-win for the North London side.

In manager Unai Emery, the Gunners boast the most successful manager in the tournament’s history since it’s rebranding as the Europa League. Another win for the former Sevilla manager – who triumphed in 2014, 2015 and 2016 – would separate him as the most successful manager outright, across both UEFA Cup and UEL, placing him one win ahead of legendary Italian coach Giovanni Trapattoni.

CHELSEA VS ARSENAL: EUROPA LEAGUE FINAL BETTING ODDS

This match isn’t as close to call as you might expect, with Chelsea favourites to improve upon their Carabao Cup final performance and win the match at odds of 27/20 (2.35). Despite their resounding victory in the semi-final and having Emery at the helm, Arsenal are 41/20 (3.05) to triumph.

Chelsea vs Arsenal: Europa League Final Betting Tips

It might seem a little surprising that Arsenal aren’t entering this fixture as favourites given their destruction of Valencia in the semi-finals, the man they have in charge of the team and the extra prize on offer to them. But Chelsea’s record in the competition over recent seasons cannot be ignored. The Blues have the longest unbeaten run in the history of the competition and finished the season in better form than Arsenal.

While the outcome of this game is not guaranteed, goals almost certainly are. In 20 of 27 fixtures played by Arsenal away from the Emirates, at least three goals have been scored. For Chelsea, seven of their last 10 Europa League games have featured at least 3 goals. So, we’d back the Europa League master Emery to cause an upset and get Arsenal across the line in a high scoring game; bet on Arsenal to win and 2.5 goals at 17/5 (4.40).

*Odds subject to change. Odds correct at time of going to print.

Europa League Betting Preview

On Thursday night, the finalists for the UEFA Europa League 2019 will be decided as Valencia face Arsenal, and Chelsea take on Frankfurt.

 

The prospect of an all-English final remains a realistic possibility as both Premier League sides head into their respective semi-final second leg fixtures with something to hold onto. Arsenal go to Mestalla with a 3-1 lead thanks to a brace of goals from Alexandre Lacazette and a late strike from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. Chelsea, meanwhile, head into the home leg at Stamford Bridge with an away goal in the bag thanks to a Pedro strike that secured a 1-1 draw in Frankfurt.

Valencia vs Arsenal

To have any hope of overturning a two-goal deficit from the first leg, Valencia will need to prolong their excellent run of success in home fixtures – that stands at 11 games unbeaten – in the UEFA Europa League. Having dropped into the competition from the UEFA Champions League, the Spanish side have been in outstanding form and were unbeaten in six matches until they met Arsenal.

Since qualifying for the semi-final, Arsenal have been on an appalling run of form, with only one win (against Valencia) in five games. Arsenal made their only previous UEFA Europa League semi-final appearance last season when they suffered defeat against Atlético. In manager Unai Emery, Arsenal have a coach who has been there and done it before, having led Sevilla to three successive tournament victories between 2013/14 to 2015/16.

Chelsea vs Frankfurt

Having now guaranteed Champions League football for next season, Chelsea enter this fixture in good spirits. They’re the only unbeaten team in the semi-finals of the Europa League – having won 11 of their 13 matches, drawing the other two – and are on a record unbeaten run that stretches to 16 fixtures. They also boast the tournament’s top scorer in French striker Olivier Giroud, who has 10 goals in the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt have had an equally impressive campaign, losing just once in 13 matches. They topped Group H (comprising Lazio, Apollon Limassol and Marseille) with maximum points, and then eliminated three teams who had dropped down from the Champions League (Shakhtar Donetsk, Internazionale and Benfica). Striker Luka Jovic has cemented a place as one of European football’s brightest prospects with a breakout season, registering 9 goals as the second top scorer in the Europa League.

EUROPA LEAGUE SEMI-FINAL BETTING ODDS AT ENERGYBET

Valencia are favourites for a home victory at 9/10 (1.90) with Arsenal 14/5 (3.80) to achieve a win on the road. Given their record in the competition it shouldn’t be a surprise that Chelsea are strongest favourites for a match win with odds of  3/8 (1.37), opponents Frankfurt are 69/10 (7.90) to make the final.

Europa League semi-final betting tips

While Valencia are favourites to win the tie, Arsenal are the favourites to make it to the final at 3/11 (1.27), given they can lose and still progress to the final. We can see Valencia beating the Gunners, but not doing enough to progress to the final. We’d back Valencia to win 2-1 at 69/10 (7.90) but find despair as Arsenal ultimately make the final.

Given that this game features the top two scoring teams and top two scoring players, it seems destined for goals. We can’t look past Chelsea for the win considering their outstanding record in the competition, so we’d back Chelsea to win and both teams to score at 9.5 (2.80).

*Odds subject to change. Odds correct at time of going to print.



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